
What does the future hold for downtown West Dearborn and . . .
Drive through downtown Dearborn, both east and west, and you’ll find plenty of vacant buildings.
Will these vacant buildings ever be filled with viable retail business that will bring people back to our city to shop?
The short answer? No.
At least that is the opinion of one planner in a column in Saturday’s New York Times.
Christopher B. Leinberger, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and professor of practice in urban and regional planning at the University of Michigan, says that the “boarded-up and vacant strip malls . . . forlorn monuments to the real estate crash are not going to come back to life, even when the economy recovers. And that’s because the demand for the housing that once supported commercial activity in many exurbs isn’t coming back, either.”
Leinberger writes that the most expensive housing today is in the high-density, pedestrian-friendly neighborhoods of the center city and inner suburbs.

. . . downtown East Dearborn.
“Simply put, there has been a profound structural shift — a reversal of what took place in the 1950s, when drivable suburbs boomed and flourished as center cities emptied and withered,” he writes.
“The shift is durable and lasting because of a major demographic event: the convergence of the two largest generations in American history, the baby boomers (born between 1946 and 1964) and the millennials (born between 1979 and 1996), which today represent half of the total population.
“Many boomers are now empty nesters and approaching retirement. Generally this means that they will downsize their housing in the near future. Boomers want to live in a walkable urban downtown, a suburban town center or a small town, according to a recent survey by the National Association of Realtors.
“The millennials are just now beginning to emerge from the nest — at least those who can afford to live on their own. This coming-of-age cohort also favors urban downtowns and suburban town centers — for lifestyle reasons and the convenience of not having to own cars.
Over all, only 12 percent of future homebuyers want the drivable suburban-fringe houses that are in such oversupply, according to the Realtors survey. This lack of demand all but guarantees continued price declines. Boomers selling their fringe housing will only add to the glut. Nothing the federal government can do will reverse this.”
It’s a depressing column, for sure. But not one we are willing to entirely accept. While our elected officials have made a lot of poor decisions in a short amount of time that Dearborn will suffer from for years to come, it is hard to image Detroit somehow becoming a destination, at least not in the short term.
There is some good news. Leinberger says there is great pent-up demand for walkable, centrally located neighborhoods (we would say Dearborn offers this). He says the transformation of suburbia can be seen in places like Arlington County, Va., Bellevue, Wash., and Pasadena, Calif., “where strip malls have been bulldozed and replaced by higher-density mixed-use developments with good transit connections.”
“The cities and inner-ring suburbs that will be the foundation of the recovery require significant investment at a time of government retrenchment. Bus and light-rail systems, bike lanes and pedestrian improvements — what traffic engineers dismissively call “alternative transportation” — are vital. So is the repair of infrastructure like roads and bridges. Places as diverse as Los Angeles, Phoenix, Salt Lake City, Dallas, Charlotte, Denver and Washington have recently voted to pay for “alternative transportation,” mindful of the dividends to be reaped. As Congress works to reauthorize highway and transit legislation, it must give metropolitan areas greater flexibility for financing transportation, rather than mandating that the vast bulk of the money can be used only for roads.
“For too long, we over-invested in the wrong places. Those retail centers and subdivisions will never be worth what they cost to build. We have to stop throwing good money after bad. It is time to instead build what the market wants: mixed-income, walkable cities and suburbs that will support the knowledge economy, promote environmental sustainability and create jobs.”
To read the complete article, click HERE.